W1 · Morning Brief
07:30
40%
10 Items
Result
Fixed
07:30
Leipzig 2:0 Heidenheim (Matchday 23). Openda 29', Sesko 71'. Convincing home win gegen den Tabellenvorletzten. Openda and Sesko score again — Leipzig stabilising after a difficult January.
Match Stats
Fixed
07:30
Leipzig 2:0 Heidenheim — Match Statistics:
61.4%
Possession RBL
7 : 1
Shots on Target
17 : 5
Total Shots
8 : 1
Corners
Mood
Variable
08:03
Positive mood after the 2:0. Rose stabilises the team — three wins in four games. HSV away as a chance for position 4.
Injuries
Fixed
07:30
Klostermann (muscle injury Thigh), Orbán (Calf — Thursday training decisive).
Form
Fixed
07:30
Saison: 11-5-7, 38 Punkte aus 23 Spielen. Last 5 Liga: W L W W D. Torbilanz: 40:30. Heimtabelle Platz 7. — away position 1..
Transfer
Variable
07:30
Reitz agent at secret meeting in Leipzig. RB trying according to GladbachLIVE to drive down the price for the Gladbach midfielder. Sommer-Wechsel possible.
Table
Fixed
07:30
5th after Matchday 23 — 2 points behind Stuttgart (4., CL spot). Best away record in the league. HSV away as a chance to build pressure.
Home / Away
Fixed
07:30
Leipzig AUSWÄRTS 25/26
Table: 1.
HSV HEIM 25/26
Table: —
H2H
Fixed
07:30
Direktvergleich Bundesliga (8 games): Leipzig 5S 1U 2N, Goals 17:10. First Half: Leipzig 3:1 HSV (Matchday 9, 22.11.2025 — Sesko 15'/78', Openda 55').
H2H Last 5
Fixed
07:30
22.11.25Leipzig 3:1 HSVSSesko ×2, Openda
14.05.25HSV 0:2 LeipzigSNkunku, Werner
10.12.24Leipzig 1:1 HSVUOpenda
18.09.23HSV 2:1 LeipzigNSesko
05.02.23Leipzig 4:0 HSVSWerner ×2
Last 5: Leipzig 3S 1U 1N · 1× in 3 Spielen beim HSV
Key Stats
Fixed
07:30
40
Saisontore (Liga-Platz 5)
2:0
Souveräner Win vs Heidenheim
61.4%
Possession vs Heidenheim
1.65
Punkte/Spiel
Leipzig Overallbilanz all competitions 25/26: 15S 6U 9N, 52:38 Goals (30 games). Openda+Sesko: 22 Liga-Goals zusammen.
Early Odds
Fixed
07:30
HSV vs Leipzig (Sat 28.02.) — Opening odds:
HSV
3.40
27.9%
Unentsch.
3.50
27.1%
Leipzig
2.10
45.2%
Oracle
Fixed
07:30
Oracle 3-Source Comparison · HSV vs Leipzig:
| Quelle | HSV | Unentsch. | Leipzig | Vol / Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | — | — | — | ⏳ ~Di/Mi |
| Polymarket | 29¢ | 26¢ | 46¢ | $88 |
| Kalshi | — | — | — | ⏳ ~Mi/Do |
⚠️ Liquidity: MID — Polymarket-Volumen $88. Pinnacle-Closing-Line ab ~Mittwoch als Wahrheitsreferenz.
Delta Check: Not available — only 1 of 3 sources live. Oracle table complete from ~Wed 25.02.
Season Markets
Fixed
07:30
Season market context: Leipzig CL qualification: Polymarket ~40¢ YES. Top 4 is the declared season goal.
W2 · Midday Update
12:30
25%
4 Items planned
Preview
12:30
H2H am Standort, Gegner-Saisonprofil, Verletzungsstatus nach Training, Sperr-Check (Gelbe Karten). 4 Items planned.
W3 · Evening Brief
17:30
25%
4 Items planned
Preview
17:30
Pinnacle opening odds (if available), Polymarket/Kalshi update, key metric, Remaining schedule next 5 opponents. 4 Items planned.
W4 · Night Signal
21:00
10%
1 Item planned
Preview
21:00
CL-/Relegations-Mathematik, Value Signal (C+ Paywall). 1 Item planned.
Publishing · Monday (MD+2)
TIER 2 · 10 ITEMS
W1
07:30
Morning Brief · 40% ▸
W212:30Midday Update · 25%
W317:30Evening Brief · 25%
W421:00Night Signal · 10%
Split: 7 Fixed (70%) · 2 Variable (20%) · 1 Signal (10%)
Last Match · Matchday 23
Leipzig — Heidenheim
Heidenheim
Sat 22.02. · 15:30 · Red Bull Arena · 47.069
⚽ Openda 29', Sesko 71'
Next Match · Matchday 24
MID
HSV
11. · 26 Pts
7-5-10
vs
Leipzig
5. · 38 Pts
11-5-7
🏟 Volksparkstadion
📅 Sat 28.02.
⏰ 15:30
Oracle · 3-Quellen-Status
PINNACLE · Wahrheitsreferenz
⏳ Linie erwartet ~Di/Wed 25.02.
POLYMARKET · Prediction Market
HSV
29¢
Unentsch.
26¢
Leipzig
46¢
Volume: $88
KALSHI · CFTC-reguliert
⏳ Markt erwartet ~Mi/Thu 26.02.
DELTA-CHECK: Not available (1/3 sources live)
Value Signal: Available from 3-source comparison ~Wed 25.02.
Value Signal: Available from 3-source comparison ~Wed 25.02.
Value Signal · Thresholds
C+ PREMIER
| <3pp | No Signal | Märkte im Einklang |
| 3–5pp | 👁️ Watch | Watch |
| 5–10pp | ⚡ Trade | C+ Paywall |
| >10pp | 🔥 Strong | C+ Paywall |
| Arb | 🔒 Arb | C+ Paywall |
Preview Stats · Matchday 24
| Leipzig | HSV | |
|---|---|---|
| Tabellenplatz | 5. | 11. |
| Punkte | 38 | 26 |
| Bilanz | 11-5-7 | 7-5-10 |
| Goals | 40:30 | 25:32 |
| Form (5) | SNSSU | UNSNU |
| Home/Away | A: 1. | H: — |
| Frühquote | 3.40 | 2.10 |
| Wahrsch. | 27.9% | 45.2% |
| Liquidität | MID $88 Poly | |
API-Football · Polymarket · Sky · 23.02.2026
Squad Status
- Aus Klostermann muscle injury Thigh
- Doubtful Orbán Calf — Thursday training decisive
API-Football · kicker.de · FotMob · 23.02.2026
Manager · Marco Rose
"Openda und Sesko zusammen — das funktioniert. Wir haben Qualität, wenn wir fokussiert spielen."
DAZN · 22.02.2026
Data Pipeline · Sources
API-Football
Stats, Table, Form
Football-Data
H2H, Backup
Odds API
Pinnacle Lines
Polymarket
Match + Season
Kalshi
CFTC-reguliert
kicker.de
Squad, press conf, quotes
LVZ
Mood, Transfer
ZERO HALLUCINATION · Nur API-Daten · Keine Fakten aus LLM-Wissen